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                	東 发表于 2015-05-21 16:00:06.0
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                	<p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <strong>财务包子铺</strong>是第二章的第一篇文章，主要讲的是一个包子铺从吸纳投资，开分店点，扩大生产，收购并购等系列过程，但文章的主要着力点确在于透过包子铺向读者介绍一些财务概念，对于我这种没啥子基础的人来说，1、看起确实很恼火，虽然作者用很通俗的话讲解，但还是很深奥，云里雾里的。2、有一点为了讲概念而讲概念的感觉，很生硬。</p><p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 反而是文章最后提到的股票做空更引起我的兴趣。</p><p>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 老包的包子铺成为上市公司，上市后受到市场欢迎，“包氏大包”的股价已经涨到八十元。精明的投资者找茬小姐一直关注该股票的动向。找茬小姐是农业个股的资深投资者，密切关注农业产业的发展变化。通过对猪肉行情的监控，找茬小姐了解到包氏大包所在地今年的猪肉产量将大减，肉价可能会应声而涨。<br/>　　这是一个很理想的做空机会。于是找茬小姐通过交易平台找到了笃信包氏大包股价会保持平稳的几位投资者，借来了10000股（融券），约定年利率36%，一个月后归还，月息即3%。那些投资者理想的状态是，若包氏大包的股价继续稳步增长，在约定的借股到期后，除了能享受到股价上涨的好处，还有额外的利息可赚。当然，这时他们都不知道肉价即将大涨的信息。而借到股票的找茬小姐，立即在80元市价卖出10000股，得须存放于交易平台内的现金80万。根据相关规定，进行做空，保证金为10%。找茬小姐应当预付8万元<br/>　　一个月不到，猪肉供应大减，猪肉价格上涨40%。猪肉作为包氏大包的主要原料，其价格的增长，直接导致包氏大」拳头产品鲜肉大包的成本大增，利润大减。消息公布后，市场纷纷预计包氏大包当季利润将严重下滑，股价短时间内狂跌30%，只剩56元。找茬小姐抓紧机会，在56元的市价购买了10000股还给了老包，顺便偿还了3%的利息。此时，我们细心计算找茬小姐的成本：<br/>　　56元购买10000股的股价=10000*56元=560000元；<br/>　　一个月的利息=800000*0.36/12=24000元；<br/>　　券商的手续费、印花税及其他各类费用总计约16000元；<br/>　　成本合计=560000+24000+15000=600000元。<br/>　　这一个月中，找茬小姐付出了8万元的成本，得到的利润足有20万元，回报率超过150%。而想着坐收渔利的那些投资者，虽然靠着利息略微补偿损失，整体资产还是缩水了许多。<br/>　　以上，描述的就是一次成功的做空行为。简而言之，就是空方利用市场上的信息不对称，在股价高位时支付股息向股票持有者借入股票，并在股价低位时抛售股票以赚取差价的投资行为。这其中，具体股息的多寡，要根据借股的周期长短以及各方对股价走势的判断而定。实际上，在一些热门做空股票上，最高可能出现超过60%年利率。这类股票，多半已经被发现可能有造假、诈骗等行为的重要线索，势必将严重影响投资者信心或受到有关部门严惩。<br/>　　还是上面的故事，倘若猪肉降价后包氏大包的股价不跌反涨呢？假设到期之日时，包氏大包的股价上涨了25%，达到100元。那么，找茬小姐如果不提前选择平仓，就必须在当日以100万的股价买进10000股还给各位投资者。此时，找茬小姐依然要付出24000元的利息，和更高额的手续费。那么，她这一个月的亏损将接近24万元，亏损金额三倍于她所付出的成本8万元。事实上，类似的做空事件常有发生。由于做空的保证金占标的额度的比例通常不高，市场的不稳定和不可预测性，会让做空的风险远超想象。<br/>　　　<br/></p>
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                    <h4><a href="javascript:if(confirm(%27http://www.duyou8.com/book/11  \n\nThis file was not retrieved by Teleport Ultra, because it was unavailable, or its retrieval was aborted, or the project was stopped too soon.  \n\nDo you want to open it from the server?%27))window.location=%27http://www.duyou8.com/book/11%27" tppabs="http://www.duyou8.com/book/11">金钱有术</a></h4>
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